Will the Fed cut rates at the September 2026 meeting?
- Kalshi
- $1.8M vol62¢
- Polymarket
- $3.1M vol64¢
Closes Sep 16, 2026 · Demo data
Platform profile
The regulated US event-contract exchange
Kalshi is a CFTC-regulated exchange where US users trade event contracts in dollars. It emphasizes regulatory compliance, dollar settlement, and a broad catalog spanning economics, politics, weather, and culture.
Visit kalshi.comKalshi is a federally regulated exchange for event contracts, designated by the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). Founded in 2018 and launched to the public in 2021, it was the first exchange of its kind to operate under full CFTC oversight, which shapes almost everything about how it works: accounts are held in US dollars, users complete identity verification, and contracts are reviewed before listing.
Markets on Kalshi are structured as binary event contracts that trade between $0.01 and $0.99 and settle at $1.00 if the event occurs (or $0.00 if it does not). The catalog covers economic data releases such as CPI and Fed rate decisions, politics and elections, weather, and an expanding range of culture and sports events.
Kalshi charges trading fees on a per-contract formula that scales with the price of the contract, rather than a flat percentage. Fees are highest for contracts priced near 50 cents and lower near the extremes. Deposits and standard withdrawals are generally free, though third-party payment processors may apply their own charges.
For traders who prioritize a regulated venue, dollar custody, and customer protections familiar from traditional brokerages, Kalshi is the reference point in the category. The trade-off historically has been thinner liquidity on some long-tail markets compared with the largest crypto-native venues, though depth has grown substantially with the platform's expansion.
| Trading | Formula-based per contract; highest near 50¢, lower near price extremes |
|---|---|
| Deposits | Free for standard methods (processor fees may apply) |
| Withdrawals | Standard withdrawals free |
| Settlement | No separate settlement fee on most markets |
Fee schedule varies by market and is updated by the exchange; always check the current schedule on kalshi.com.
Demonstration data — example markets with illustrative prices, not live quotes.
Closes Sep 16, 2026 · Demo data
Closes Jan 13, 2027 · Demo data
Closes Dec 31, 2026 · Demo data
Head-to-head
How does Kalshi compare with Polymarket?
Fees, liquidity, regulation and market coverage, compared in depth.